You can make the call.
Here are the World Series combatants since 2004. Only 7 of the 24 league leaders in run differential during that time span made in to the World Series, or a paltry 29.1%.
However, 17 of the 24 World Series foes were in the top 3 in their league's run differential or 70.8%.
You make the call.
| YEAR | LG | TM | Run Diff (League Rank) | Run Diff | League Leader |
| 2015 | AL | KCR | 3 | 83 | 221 (TOR) |
| 2015 | NL | NYM | 5 | 70 | 122 (STL) |
| 2014 | AL | KCR | 7 | 27 | 157 (OAK) |
| 2014 | NL | SFG | 3 | 51 | 131 (WAS) |
| 2013 | AL | BOS | 1 | 197 | 197 (BOS) |
| 2013 | NL | STL | 1 | 187 | 187 (STL) |
| 2012 | AL | DET | 7 | 56 | 136 (NYY) |
| 2012 | NL | SFG | 5 | 69 | 137 (WAS) |
| 2011 | AL | TEX | 2 | 178 | 210 (NYY) |
| 2011 | NL | STL | 3 | 70 | 184 (PHI) |
| 2010 | AL | TEX | 4 | 100 | 166 (NYY) |
| 2010 | NL | SFG | 2 | 114 | 132 (PHI) |
| 2009 | AL | NYY | 1 | 162 | 162 (NYY) |
| 2009 | NL | PHI | 2 | 111 | 169 (LAD) |
| 2008 | AL | TBR | 3 | 103 | 151 (BOS) |
| 2008 | NL | PHI | 2 | 119 | 184 (CHC) |
| 2007 | AL | BOS | 1 | 210 | 210 (BOS) |
| 2007 | NL | COL | 1 | 102 | 102 (COL) |
| 2006 | AL | DET | 2 | 147 | 163 (NYY) |
| 2006 | NL | STL | 6 | 19 | 103 (NYM) |
| 2005 | AL | CHW | 6 | 96 | 148 (CLE) |
| 2005 | NL | HOU | 3 | 84 | 171 (STL) |
| 2004 | AL | BOS | 1 | 181 | 181 (BOS) |
| 2004 | NL | STL | 1 | 196 | 196 (STL) |
Also as a bonus, here are the run differentials for the World Series Champs (2004-2015) for the playoff games played in the year each team won.
| YEAR | WS CHAMP | GAMES | W/L | RUN DIFF |
| 2004 | BOS | 14 | (11-3) | 21 |
| 2005 | CHW | 12 | (11-1) | 33 |
| 2006 | STL | 16 | (11-5) | 20 |
| 2007 | BOS | 14 | (11-3) | 53 |
| 2008 | PHI | 14 | (11-3) | 20 |
| 2009 | NYY | 15 | (11-4) | 28 |
| 2010 | SFG | 15 | (11-4) | 18 |
| 2011 | STL | 18 | (11-7) | 23 |
| 2012 | SFG | 16 | (11-5) | 22 |
| 2013 | BOS | 16 | (11-5) | 28 |
| 2014 | SFG | 17 | (12-5) | 19 |
| 2015 | KCR | 16 | (11-5) | 24 |
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