Monday, July 18, 2016

With Red Sox trading Anderson Espinoza, how does a Top 15 prospect in MLB usually pan out?

Last week Red Sox President Dave Dombrowski pulled off a trade in which the Sox acquired San Diego starting pitcher Drew Pomeranz for Red Sox prospect Anderson Espinoza.

At the time of the trade, Espinoza was considered by Baseball America to be a Top 15 prospect in all of MLB.

It got me thinking. How have these projections worked out? I went back to 2009 and looked for every pitcher that was ranked at some point in the top 15 (pre-season, mid-season, etc.)

Here are the all the pitchers with their career numbers to date.

Do you still like the Red Sox trade?

Players sorted by years played. Players that were ranked in the Top 15 at some point since 2009.

Note: Player listed with their current team. Tommy Hanson is the only pitcher out of baseball.

NAMEYEARSTMGGSWLWIN %SVIPERAWHIP
David Price9BOS238233113630.64201571.23.201.14
Neftali Feliz8PIT289718120.60098325.13.181.09
Trevor Cahill8CHC24517366750.46811124.24.091.36
Madsion Bumgarner8SFG20320095630.60101306.22.941.10
Aroldis Chapman7NYY352022200.524164346.12.181.01
Brett Anderson7LAD12311237410.4743674.13.721.30
Jeremy Hellickson7PHI16115455550.5000897.23.951.26
Zachary Britton6BAL2234627210.563102436.13.421.27
Julio Teheran6ATL12211943380.53107593.331.15
Matt Moore6TBR949237280.5690526.13.931.35
Trevor Bauer5CLE867825270.4810469.14.241.34
Shelby Miller5ARI11611034440.4360644.23.641.29
Martin Perez5TEX736725250.5000405.24.171.41
Tommy Hanson5OUT12312149350.58307083.801.28
Jose Fernandez4MIA646433130.7170396.12.431.01
Gerrit Cole4PIT868645250.6430535.23.071.18
Yu Darvish4TEX878741260.6120565.13.261.20
Taijuan Walker4SEA565318180.5000308.24.021.18
Michael Pineda4NYY868629340.4600508.14.021.15
Tyler Skaggs3LAA31318110.42101814.721.29
Noah Syndergaard2NYM424118110.6210255.22.961.06
Zack Wheeler2NYM494918160.5290285.13.501.34
Archie Bradley2ARI2020580.3850105.24.851.49
Jonathan Gray2COL2525560.4550136.14.691.31
Dylan Bundy2BAL251220.5000433.561.58
Jameson Taillon1PIT55210.6670283.861.25
Lucas Giolito1WAS22000.00007.24.701.83
Julio Urias1LAD88120.333036.14.951.54


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