Monday, August 15, 2016

Comparing the Red Sox vs AL Contenders in their wins and losses

Do the Red Sox just beat bad teams by a lot of runs?

Short answer is no.

The Red Sox beat teams by a lot of runs because they have the best offense in MLB

You will see below that the Red Sox wins have come against teams with a .494 win percentage. This ties them for 4th with Baltimore among AL contenders.

Do the Red Sox score more runs, in their wins? Not as much as Cleveland but firmly in 2nd place.

Since when is it a bad thing to score a lot more runs than your opponent in MLB. I'll answer. Never.

Here are the numbers for the AL contenders in their wins.

NOTE: team wins, runs in wins, runs against in wins, run differential, OPP W, OPP L, OPP win %. 
Won-lost records are through BOS/CLE day game on August 15, 2016. 
Sorted by run differential.

TEAMWRRARun DiffWLPCT
CLE674441622823,7484,0930.478
BOS654692052643,7653,8560.494
TOR674261782483,9503,9070.503
BAL664051932123,8153,9130.494
DET633981862123,6033,7760.488
SEA623971882093,6293,6330.500
TEX694072111964,0963,9870.507

Here are the numbers for AL contenders in their losses.

Texas gets beat by the most runs (-197) against the worst teams (.492) among the contenders. Does that mean they are no good. No. It means in those particular games they pitched and hit poorly.

Detroit losses to the teams with the better records (.522). Do they stink?

Boston has lost their 52 games by the 2nd fewest amount of runs per game (3.08). Only team ahead is Seattle at (3.02).

Instead of that being a negative vibe, I take it as a positive. All it means to me is that the Red Sox are competitive in more games than anybody. Eventually, the law of averages will turn some losses in to wins. Like today win over Cleveland.

NOTE: team losses, runs in losses, runs against in losses, run differential, OPP W, OPP L, OPP win %.
Won-lost records are through BOS/CLE day game on August 15, 2016. 
Sorted by run differential.

TEAMLRRARun DiffWLPCT
BOS5217452-1603,1132,9820.511
TOR5114151-1603,0142,9570.505
SEA5414454-1633,2403,1010.511
BAL5114451-1743,0592,9230.511
CLE4914649-1782,8882,8600.502
DET5415254-1903,2963,0240.522
TEX5014750-1972,8842,9740.492

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