Saturday, August 13, 2016

How are the Red Sox bats in close games?

Why does it seem like the Boston Red Sox win a lot of blowouts but struggle in close games? Because it is true.

What is the cause?

All facets of the team can be blamed. At times it's the starting pitching. Other times it is the relievers. Occasionally it is base running and fielding.

Let's focus on the offense.

Here are the batting statistics based on the run outcome of the game whether the Red Sox won or lost.

GAME OUTCOMEW/LR/DiffABRH2B3BHRRBIBBKBAOBPSLGOPS
1 run game(13-14)-194412726359436122731910.2790.3330.4640.797
2 run game(25-27)-31,8122314871078502241653760.2690.3320.4190.752
3 run game(30-35)-122,2402695791218592592184900.2580.3270.3990.726
4 run game(42-43)42,93737878016413973612746310.2660.3310.4290.761
5 run game(48-47)143,296448892190161084293146900.2710.3370.4360.774
≥ ± 6 run game(14-5)7271417024467634162731220.3420.4050.5951.001

Again, this is why run differential is not a true precursor for success. The best use of run differential always will be in games decided by 5 runs or less. High scoring games are aberrations.

To put it in perspective, there aren't many people that would say Hanley Ramirez is have a very good year despite the fact that he is tied for 18th in the AL in RBI and 30th in all of MLB.

Why does it seem like Hanley isn't having that good a year?

Here are the games where Ramirez numbers in games where he has ≥
 2 RBI vs games he has less than that.

RESULTGSABRHits2B3BHRRBIBAOPASLGBA
≥ 2 RBI155918295110420.4920.5451.1191.664
≤ 1 RBI8733338781606280.2340.3120.3360.648

Like the team, most of Hanley's offensive prowess is concentrated in a small percentage of the games played.

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