Saturday, August 6, 2016

How have older NFL quarterbacks fared over the last 10 years?

Patriot's QB Tom Brady will be under center at Cleveland on October 9, 2016 at the age of 39. It got me thinking. Do QB's age like fine wine or like milk?

I took a look at the last 10 years, QB's from the age of 37 to 44 years old. Why only that far back? NFL rules protecting the QB have increased substantially over the last decade. Salaries have increased immensely over the last decade. So to compare QB's from other eras at these ages is not apples to apples.

My guess is that a health conscious and intensely driven Tom Brady will shatter every season record for QB's over the age of 39, 40, 41, etc.

You decide.

Here are the combined QB numbers from 2006-2015 for each age group.

AGEGGSCMPATTCMP%YDSTDIntRateWLPCT
371121052,3113,68262.826,4381799190.261440.581
381221082,4953,89164.128,55118310590.566420.611
3970306571,07361.26,839364872.217130.567
40422756787864.66,436461895.41890.667
41-44391931453658.63,517172569.47120.368

Now the details of each age group.

Here are 37 year old QB's from 2006-2015. Sorted by attempts.

PLAYERYEARAGETMGGSCMPATTCMP%YDSTDINTRATEWLPCT
Peyton Manning201337DEN161645065968.35,4775510115.11330.813
Brett Favre200637GNB161634361356.03,885181872.7880.500
Kurt Warner200837ARI161640159867.14,583301496.9970.563
Tom Brady201437NWE161637358264.14,10933997.41240.750
Jeff Garcia200737TAM131320932763.92,44013494.6850.615
Gus Frerotte200837MIN111117830159.12,157121573.7830.727
Matt Hasselbeck201237TEN8513822162.41,3677581.0230.400
Kerry Collins200937TEN7611921655.11,2256865.5060.000
Trent Green200737MIA558514160.39875772.6050.000
Charlie Batch201137PIT41152462.52080172.9101.000
TOTAL---1121052,3113,68262.826,4381799190.261440.581

Here are 38 year old QB's from 2006-2015. Sorted by attempts.

PLAYERYEARAGETMGGSCMPATTCMP%YDSTDINTRATEWLPCT
Tom Brady201538NWE161640262464.44,770367102.21240.750
Peyton Manning201438DEN161639559766.24,7273915101.51240.750
Brett Favre200738GNB161635653566.54,155281595.71330.813
Kurt Warner200938ARI151533951366.13,753261493.21050.667
Brad Johnson200638MIN151427043961.52,75091572.0680.429
Jeff Garcia200838TAM121124437664.92,71212690.2650.545
Jon Kitna201038DAL10920931865.72,365161288.9450.444
Kerry Collins201038TEN10716027857.61,82314882.2250.286
Trent Green200838STL31387252.85250641.7010.000
Charlie Batch201238PIT22457064.34751464.9110.500
Todd Bouman201038JAX11183452.92222268.5010.000
Todd Collins200938WAS30122352.21440071.6000.000
Matt Hasselbeck201338IND3071258.31300161.1000.000
TOTAL---1221082,4953,89164.128,55118310590.566420.611

Here are 39 year old QB's from 2006-2015. Sorted by attempts.

PLAYERYEARAGETMGGSCMPATTCMP%YDSTDINTRATEWLPCT
Brett Favre200839NYJ161634352265.73,472222281.0970.563
Peyton Manning201539DEN10919833159.82,24991767.9720.778
Kerry Collins201139IND33489849.04812165.9030.000
Matt Hasselbeck201439IND40304468.230120102.6000.000
Mark Brunell200939NOR161153050.01020144.0010.000
Todd Collins201039CHI21102737.068055.9101.000
Brad Johnson200739DAL16071163.6790085.0000.000
Jon Kitna201139DAL3061060.0871282.1000.000
TOTAL---70306571,07361.26,839364872.217130.567

Here are 40 year old QB's from 2006-2015. Sorted by attempts.

PLAYERYEARAGETMGGSCMPATTCMP%YDSTDINTRATEWLPCT
Brett Favre200940MIN161636353168.44,202337107.21240.750
Matt Hasselbeck201540IND8815625660.91,6909584.0530.625
Brad Johnson200840DAL163417852.64272550.5120.333
Mark Brunell201040NYJ2071353.91172192.0000.000
TOTAL---422756787864.66,436461895.41890.667

Here are 41+ year old QB's from 2006-2015. Sorted by attempts.

PLAYERYEARAGETMGGSCMPATTCMP%YDSTDINTRATEWLPCT
Brett Favre201041MIN131321735860.62,509111969.9580.385
Mark Brunell201141NYJ1601333.3270067.4000.000
Vinny Testaverde200643NWE302366.72910137.5000.000
Vinny Testaverde200744CAR769417254.79525665.8240.333
TOTAL---391931453658.63,517172569.47120.368

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