Monday, March 28, 2016

News Flash - Red Sox need starters that can throw 200 innings a year

The Red Sox need pitchers that can throw 200 innings a year. I found that out by listening and reading the Boston sports media over the last few weeks. I know it shouldn't bother me but it does. Why does it irritate me?

Here is the reason. There have only been 24 pitchers in all MLB that have averaged 190 IP over the last 3 years. Wait, what? Yup, it is a small select group that qualify in the modern 21st century baseball to pitch 570 IP over 3 seasons. Teams, players, agents and a striking number of injuries help keep this number to only the sturdiest of MLB arms.

As a point of reference, just 10 years ago there where 42 pitchers that would have qualified. Meaning the numbers have dropped 42.9% in just 10 years.

For the last 3 years, that means that 24 out of 150 (30 teams x 5 starters each) pitched more than 190 innings a year. That equates to 16%. That's it. Could the Red Sox have spent their money and assets more wisely. A thousand times yes. Is there a deep pool of horses that are "aces"? Absolutely not.

So for anybody to say that the Red Sox pitcher X isn't any good because he only threw 150 IP last year is behind the times. Wayyy behind the times. In year 2016, if you can get 150 IP from a pitcher you sign that player to a 4 year/$50 million dollar contract immediately.

So, let's look at who the 24 pitchers that qualified will pitch for this year.

1. Five teams, the Cubs, White Sox, Mariners, Giants and Cardinals each have 2 pitchers.

2. Thirteen teams have one pitcher.

3. There is one pitcher that retired, Mark Buehrle.

That would leave 12 teams that have ZERO pitchers that have averaged 190 IP over the last 3 years. None, nada zilch. Here is the team breakdown.

TeamPitchersTeamPitchers
Cardinals2Angels0
Cubs2A's0
Giants2Brewers0
Mariners2Marlins0
White Sox2Phillies0
Astros1Pirates0
Blue Jays1Rays0
Braves1Reds0
Diamondbacks1Rockies0
Dodgers1Royals0
Indians1Twins0
Mets1Yankees0
Nationals1
Orioles1
Padres1
Rangers1
Red Sox1
Tigers1
Retired1.

Now let's look at the elite 24 pitchers that amassed 570+ innings over the last 3 seasons.

1. Twelve of the 24 qualifiers were signed as free agents or traded in the last 3 years, Scherzer, Shields, Price, Samardzjia, Lester, Hamels, Zimmerman, Lackey, Greinke, Leake, Dickey and Miley,

The Red Sox could have been "in" on any of these players via free agent signings or trade. Regretfully, they hardly participated. In fact, the net for the Red Sox was (-2) pitchers over the last 3 years. They lost Lester, Lackey and Miley but gained Price. That in of itself is ruminating now with their horrific starting pitching rotation.

2. One is retired, Buehrle.

3. Ten pitchers are still with their original team, Kershaw, Hernandez, Bumgarner, Teheran, Quintana, Kluber, Sale, Tillman, Kuechel and Lynn. Besides Lance Lynn, prying the other 9 pitchers from their teams would be virtually impossible.

4. And one is just Bartolo Colon.

Here is the list. Players are sorted by innings pitched.

PlayerTeamGSIPHERBBSOERAWLWin %
Clayton KershawLAD936674661421257721.9253190.736
Max ScherzerWAS98663.335242171537682.9453200.726
James ShieldsSDP1016586282491935923.4140240.625
David PriceBOS93655.335982191126473.0143250.632
R.A. DickeyTOR101654.675932872064763.9539370.513
Jeff SamardzijaSFG98647.336292941705794.0926390.400
Felix HernandezSEA966425352041506552.8645250.643
Jon LesterCHC976385862251626043.1742310.575
Madison BumgarnerSFG966375212051446522.9049280.636
Cole HamelsTEX956375712301716153.2530310.492
Jordan ZimmermannDET97614.675812181085073.1946240.657
Julio TeheranATL96607.335502271695273.3639290.574
Jose QuintanaCHW97606.676032291525193.4027280.491
John LackeyCHC93605.335962251405003.3537330.529
Corey KluberCLE906055492131296503.1738300.559
Mark BuehrleRET97604.336652541303493.7840280.588
Zack GreinkeARI92602.674901541295552.3051150.773
Mike LeakeSTL94598.675842391474053.5936300.545
Wade MileySEA98597.676092732054774.1129330.468
Chris SaleCHW875974981941277082.9236290.554
Bartolo ColonNYM92587.33628238834043.6547320.595
Chris TillmanBAL98586.675492581984493.9640240.625
Dallas KeuchelHOU84585.675562171514853.3338270.585
Lance LynnSTL97580.675462102165463.2542310.575


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