Odds that the Bruins make the playoffs

What was unthinkable two weeks ago has become reality for the Bruins. They could be on the outside looking in when the playoffs role around for the second year in a row. Completely unacceptable even for a team that has major talent issue on defense.

The Bruins are (2-7-1) in their last ten games while averaging a mere 1.6 goals a game. That isn't going to get it done. What is going to get it done?

Here are the odds based on all the scenarios in the last 5 games. Bottom line is this. Boston has to get 5 out of 10 of the remaining points to have a better than 50% chance of making the playoffs. And they are staring at a first round match up with Washington, Tampa Bay or Florida.

Total Points	Record	Pct In	Washington	Tampa Bay	Florida	NY Islanders
98	(5-0-0)	100.0%	0.0%	48.0%	51.0%	1.0%
97	(4-0-1)	100.0%	0.0%	48.0%	51.0%	0.0%
96	(4-1-0)	99.8%	0.1%	48.0%	50.0%	0.0%
96	(3-0-2)	99.6%	0.2%	47.0%	50.0%	0.0%
95	(3-1-1)	97.2%	0.7%	44.0%	46.0%	0.0%
95	(2-0-3)	94.6%	10.0%	41.0%	43.0%	0.0%
94	(3-2-0)	91.4%	10.0%	40.0%	42.0%	0.0%
94	(2-1-2)	87.3%	13.0%	36.0%	38.0%	0.0%
94	(1-0-4)	80.3%	15.0%	32.0%	33.0%	0.0%
93	(2-2-1)	70.5%	16.0%	27.0%	28.0%	0.0%
93	(1-1-3)	59.2%	16.0%	21.0%	22.0%	0.0%
93	(0-0-5)	46.6%	15.0%	15.0%	16.0%	0.0%
92	(2-3-0)	52.8%	11.0%	20.0%	21.0%	0.0%
92	(1-2-2)	42.9%	13.0%	15.0%	15.0%	0.0%
92	(0-1-4)	30.2%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	0.0%
91	(1-3-1)	22.5%	0.8%	0.7%	0.8%	0.0%
91	(0-2-3)	12.2%	0.6%	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
90	(1-4-0)	11.3%	0.3%	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
90	(0-3-2)	5.8%	0.3%	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
89	(0-4-1)	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
88	(0-5-0)	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

source: Sports Club Stats

Here is the remaining home/away and opponent winning percentage for the Bruins and their two biggest competitors, Detroit and Philadelphia.

TEAM	HOME	AWAY	OPP WIN PCT
Boston	3	2	0.576
Detroit	4	1	0.556
Philadelphia	3	4	0.585

Here are Boston, Detroit and Philadephia's remaining schedule.

DATE	TEAMS	TIME
Wednesday, March 30	Washington at Philadelphia	8:00 PM
Friday, April 1	Minnesota at Detroit	7:30 PM
Friday, April 1	Boston at St. Louis	8:00 PM
Saturday, April 2	Ottawa at Philadelphia	1:00 PM
Saturday, April 2	Detroit at Toronto	7:00 PM
Sunday, April 3	Boston at Chicago	12:30 PM
Sunday, April 3	Philadelphia at Pittsburgh	5:00 PM
Tuesday, April 5	Carolina at Boston	7:00 PM
Wednesday, April 6	Philadelphia at Detroit	8:00 PM
Thursday, April 7	Detroit at Boston	7:00 PM
Thursday, April 7	Toronto at Philadelphia	7:00 PM
Saturday, April 9	Ottawa at Boston	12:30 PM
Saturday, April 9	Detroit at NY Rangers	12:30 PM
Saturday, April 9	Pittsburgh at Philadelphia	3:00 PM
Sunday, April 10	Philadelphia at NY Islanders	7:00 PM